The effect of global warming on mortality

• Published in: Early human development 2021-04, Vol.155, p.105222, Article 105222
• Main Authors: Calleja-Agius, Jean, England, Kathleen, Calleja, Neville
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Aged; Cold Temperature; Global Warming; Hot Temperature; Humans; Infant; Respiratory Tract Diseases; Seasons
• ISSN: 0378-3782; 1872-6232
• DOI: 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105222

There is a significant relationship between ambient temperature and mortality. In healthy individuals with no underlying co-morbid conditions, there is an efficient heat regulation system which enables the body to effectively handle thermal stress. However, in vulnerable groups, especially in elderly over the age of 65 years, infants and individuals with co-morbid cardiovascular and/or respiratory conditions, there is a deficiency in thermoregulation. When temperatures exceed a certain limit, being cold winter spells or heat waves, there is an increase in the number of deaths. In particular, it has been shown that at temperatures above 27 °C, the daily mortality rate increases more rapidly per degree rise compared to when it drops below 27 °C. This is especially of relevance with the current emergency of global warming. Besides the direct effect of temperature rises on human health, global warming will have a negative impact on primary producers and livestock, leading to malnutrition, which will in turn lead to a myriad of health related issues. This is further exacerbated by environmental pollution. Public health measures that countries should follow should include not only health-related information strategies aiming to reduce the exposure to heat for vulnerable individuals and the community, but improved urban planning and reduction in energy consumption, among many others. This will reduce the carbon footprint and help avert global warming, thus reducing mortality.