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Development and Validation of a Sociodemographic and Behavioral Characteristics-Based Risk-Score Algorithm for Targeting HIV Testing Among Adults in Kenya
To inform targeted HIV testing, we developed and externally validated a risk-score algorithm that incorporated behavioral characteristics. Outpatient data from five health facilities in western Kenya, comprising 19,458 adults ≥ 15 years tested for HIV from September 2017 to May 2018, were included i...
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Published in: | AIDS and behavior 2021-02, Vol.25 (2), p.297-310 |
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creator | Muttai, Hellen Guyah, Bernard Musingila, Paul Achia, Thomas Miruka, Fredrick Wanjohi, Stella Dande, Caroline Musee, Polycarp Lugalia, Fillet Onyango, Dickens Kinywa, Eunice Okomo, Gordon Moth, Iscah Omondi, Samuel Ayieko, Caren Nganga, Lucy Joseph, Rachael H. Zielinski-Gutierrez, Emily |
description | To inform targeted HIV testing, we developed and externally validated a risk-score algorithm that incorporated behavioral characteristics. Outpatient data from five health facilities in western Kenya, comprising 19,458 adults ≥ 15 years tested for HIV from September 2017 to May 2018, were included in univariable and multivariable analyses used for algorithm development. Data for 11,330 adults attending one high-volume facility were used for validation. Using the final algorithm, patients were grouped into four risk-score categories: ≤ 9, 10–15, 16–29 and ≥ 30, with increasing HIV prevalence of 0.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.46–0.75], 1.35% (95% CI 0.85–1.84), 2.65% (95% CI 1.8–3.51), and 15.15% (95% CI 9.03–21.27), respectively. The algorithm’s discrimination performance was modest, with an area under the receiver-operating-curve of 0.69 (95% CI 0.53–0.84). In settings where universal testing is not feasible, a risk-score algorithm can identify sub-populations with higher HIV-risk to be prioritized for HIV testing. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s10461-020-02962-7 |
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Outpatient data from five health facilities in western Kenya, comprising 19,458 adults ≥ 15 years tested for HIV from September 2017 to May 2018, were included in univariable and multivariable analyses used for algorithm development. Data for 11,330 adults attending one high-volume facility were used for validation. Using the final algorithm, patients were grouped into four risk-score categories: ≤ 9, 10–15, 16–29 and ≥ 30, with increasing HIV prevalence of 0.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.46–0.75], 1.35% (95% CI 0.85–1.84), 2.65% (95% CI 1.8–3.51), and 15.15% (95% CI 9.03–21.27), respectively. The algorithm’s discrimination performance was modest, with an area under the receiver-operating-curve of 0.69 (95% CI 0.53–0.84). In settings where universal testing is not feasible, a risk-score algorithm can identify sub-populations with higher HIV-risk to be prioritized for HIV testing.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1090-7165</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-3254</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s10461-020-02962-7</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32651762</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Springer US</publisher><subject>Adult ; Adults ; Algorithms ; Confidence intervals ; Demography ; Discrimination ; Health care facilities ; Health Psychology ; HIV ; HIV Infections - diagnosis ; HIV Infections - epidemiology ; HIV Infections - prevention & control ; HIV Testing ; Human immunodeficiency virus ; Humans ; Infectious Diseases ; Kenya - epidemiology ; Medical tests ; Medicine ; Medicine & Public Health ; Original Paper ; Public Health ; Risk ; Risk Factors ; Risk taking ; Sociodemographics ; Socioeconomic Factors</subject><ispartof>AIDS and behavior, 2021-02, Vol.25 (2), p.297-310</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2020</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2020. 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Outpatient data from five health facilities in western Kenya, comprising 19,458 adults ≥ 15 years tested for HIV from September 2017 to May 2018, were included in univariable and multivariable analyses used for algorithm development. Data for 11,330 adults attending one high-volume facility were used for validation. Using the final algorithm, patients were grouped into four risk-score categories: ≤ 9, 10–15, 16–29 and ≥ 30, with increasing HIV prevalence of 0.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.46–0.75], 1.35% (95% CI 0.85–1.84), 2.65% (95% CI 1.8–3.51), and 15.15% (95% CI 9.03–21.27), respectively. The algorithm’s discrimination performance was modest, with an area under the receiver-operating-curve of 0.69 (95% CI 0.53–0.84). 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subjects | Adult Adults Algorithms Confidence intervals Demography Discrimination Health care facilities Health Psychology HIV HIV Infections - diagnosis HIV Infections - epidemiology HIV Infections - prevention & control HIV Testing Human immunodeficiency virus Humans Infectious Diseases Kenya - epidemiology Medical tests Medicine Medicine & Public Health Original Paper Public Health Risk Risk Factors Risk taking Sociodemographics Socioeconomic Factors |
title | Development and Validation of a Sociodemographic and Behavioral Characteristics-Based Risk-Score Algorithm for Targeting HIV Testing Among Adults in Kenya |
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