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All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A real-world observational study
The aim of our study was to evaluate all-cause mortality risk in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Mexico City treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics. This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 2...
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Published in: | EXCLI journal 2021-01, Vol.20, p.199-222 |
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creator | Mancilla-Galindo, Javier García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac Kammar-García, Ashuin |
description | The aim of our study was to evaluate all-cause mortality risk in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Mexico City treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics. This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 24 and September 14, 2020 in 688 primary-to-tertiary medical units in Mexico City. Patients were included with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2; those receiving unspecified antivirals, excluded; and groups of antivirals prescribed in < 30 patients, eliminated. Survival and mortality risks were determined for patients receiving antivirals, antibiotics, both, or none. We assessed the effect of early (2 days) use of antivirals on mortality in a sub-cohort of patients. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, generalized estimating equations, and calculation of E-values were performed to limit confounding. 136,855 patients were analyzed; mean age 44.2 (SD:16.8) years; 51.3 % were men. 16.6 % received antivirals (3 %), antibiotics (10 %), or both (3.6 %). Antivirals studied were Oseltamivir (n=8414), Amantadine (n=319), Lopinavir-Ritonavir (n=100), Rimantadine (n=61), Zanamivir (n=39), and Acyclovir (n=36). Survival with antivirals (73.7 %, p |
doi_str_mv | 10.17179/excli2021-3413 |
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This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 24 and September 14, 2020 in 688 primary-to-tertiary medical units in Mexico City. Patients were included with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2; those receiving unspecified antivirals, excluded; and groups of antivirals prescribed in < 30 patients, eliminated. Survival and mortality risks were determined for patients receiving antivirals, antibiotics, both, or none. We assessed the effect of early (<2 days) versus late (>2 days) use of antivirals on mortality in a sub-cohort of patients. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, generalized estimating equations, and calculation of E-values were performed to limit confounding. 136,855 patients were analyzed; mean age 44.2 (SD:16.8) years; 51.3 % were men. 16.6 % received antivirals (3 %), antibiotics (10 %), or both (3.6 %). Antivirals studied were Oseltamivir (n=8414), Amantadine (n=319), Lopinavir-Ritonavir (n=100), Rimantadine (n=61), Zanamivir (n=39), and Acyclovir (n=36). Survival with antivirals (73.7 %, p<0.0001) and antibiotics (85.8 %, p<0.0001) was lower than no antiviral/antibiotic (93.6 %). After multivariable adjustment, increased risk of death occurred with antivirals (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84) in ambulatory (HR=4.7, 95 % CI: 3.94-5.62) and non-critical (HR=2.03, 95 % CI: 1.86-2.21) patients. Oseltamivir increased mortality risk in the general population (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84), ambulatory (HR=4.79, 95 % CI: 4.01-5.75), non-critical (HR=2.05, 95 % CI: 1.88-2.23), and pregnancy (HR=8.35, 95 % CI: 1.77-39.30); as well as hospitalized (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.26) and critical patients (HR=1.22, 95 % CI: 1.05-1.43) after propensity score-matching. Early versus late oseltamivir did not modify the risk. Antibiotics were a risk factor in general population (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.08-1.19) and pediatrics (HR=4.22, 95 % CI: 2.01-8.86), but a protective factor in hospitalized (HR=0.81, 95 % CI: 0.77-0.86) and critical patients (HR=0.67, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.72). No significant benefit for repurposed antivirals was observed; oseltamivir was associated with increased mortality. Antibiotics increased mortality risk in the general population but may increase survival in hospitalized and critical patients.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1611-2156</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1611-2156</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.17179/excli2021-3413</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33628159</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Germany: Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors</publisher><subject>Original</subject><ispartof>EXCLI journal, 2021-01, Vol.20, p.199-222</ispartof><rights>Copyright © 2021 Mancilla-Galindo et al.</rights><rights>Copyright © 2021 Mancilla-Galindo et al. 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><orcidid>0000-0002-3875-0945</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7898041/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7898041/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,881,27903,27904,53769,53771</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33628159$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Mancilla-Galindo, Javier</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kammar-García, Ashuin</creatorcontrib><title>All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A real-world observational study</title><title>EXCLI journal</title><addtitle>EXCLI J</addtitle><description>The aim of our study was to evaluate all-cause mortality risk in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Mexico City treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics. This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 24 and September 14, 2020 in 688 primary-to-tertiary medical units in Mexico City. Patients were included with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2; those receiving unspecified antivirals, excluded; and groups of antivirals prescribed in < 30 patients, eliminated. Survival and mortality risks were determined for patients receiving antivirals, antibiotics, both, or none. We assessed the effect of early (<2 days) versus late (>2 days) use of antivirals on mortality in a sub-cohort of patients. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, generalized estimating equations, and calculation of E-values were performed to limit confounding. 136,855 patients were analyzed; mean age 44.2 (SD:16.8) years; 51.3 % were men. 16.6 % received antivirals (3 %), antibiotics (10 %), or both (3.6 %). Antivirals studied were Oseltamivir (n=8414), Amantadine (n=319), Lopinavir-Ritonavir (n=100), Rimantadine (n=61), Zanamivir (n=39), and Acyclovir (n=36). Survival with antivirals (73.7 %, p<0.0001) and antibiotics (85.8 %, p<0.0001) was lower than no antiviral/antibiotic (93.6 %). After multivariable adjustment, increased risk of death occurred with antivirals (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84) in ambulatory (HR=4.7, 95 % CI: 3.94-5.62) and non-critical (HR=2.03, 95 % CI: 1.86-2.21) patients. Oseltamivir increased mortality risk in the general population (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84), ambulatory (HR=4.79, 95 % CI: 4.01-5.75), non-critical (HR=2.05, 95 % CI: 1.88-2.23), and pregnancy (HR=8.35, 95 % CI: 1.77-39.30); as well as hospitalized (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.26) and critical patients (HR=1.22, 95 % CI: 1.05-1.43) after propensity score-matching. Early versus late oseltamivir did not modify the risk. Antibiotics were a risk factor in general population (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.08-1.19) and pediatrics (HR=4.22, 95 % CI: 2.01-8.86), but a protective factor in hospitalized (HR=0.81, 95 % CI: 0.77-0.86) and critical patients (HR=0.67, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.72). No significant benefit for repurposed antivirals was observed; oseltamivir was associated with increased mortality. Antibiotics increased mortality risk in the general population but may increase survival in hospitalized and critical patients.</description><subject>Original</subject><issn>1611-2156</issn><issn>1611-2156</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNpVkU1LxDAQhoMofqyevUmOXqpJ06SJB2FZP0Hxol7LbJtqJG1qku66v8M_bMQPlDnMDDM8L-8MQvuUHNGSlupYv9XW5CSnGSsoW0PbVFCa5ZSL9T_1FtoJ4YUQLgkvN9EWYyKXlKtt9D61NqthDBp3zkewJq4wdK5_wgNEo_sYcPQaom7w0sRn7PUw-sGF1EMfzcJ4sCGVX-3cuGjqgFvn8ezu8fosowqbHt_qN1M7PEv0EzxNELDZ0nnbYDcP2i-SlOvB4hDHZrWLNtoE1XvfeYIeLs7vZ1fZzd3l9Wx6kw25EDFjAnijQTJGeUNoCqWFBNLWhFPGpW7qVopCFKrUktdKKShI05K2oBTEnLAJOv3iDuO8S9vJbDJTDd504FeVA1P9n_TmuXpyi6qUSpJ07gk6_AZ49zrqEKvOhFpbC712Y6jyQrGCi4J8rh781foV-fkE-wAPH463</recordid><startdate>20210101</startdate><enddate>20210101</enddate><creator>Mancilla-Galindo, Javier</creator><creator>García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar</creator><creator>Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica</creator><creator>Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano</creator><creator>Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo</creator><creator>Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac</creator><creator>Kammar-García, Ashuin</creator><general>Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3875-0945</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20210101</creationdate><title>All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A real-world observational study</title><author>Mancilla-Galindo, Javier ; García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar ; Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica ; Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano ; Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo ; Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac ; Kammar-García, Ashuin</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-p266t-36a5dea83315d010109e68a0fc051358edcf8646497e85c999a40df0f411a6b03</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Original</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Mancilla-Galindo, Javier</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kammar-García, Ashuin</creatorcontrib><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>EXCLI journal</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Mancilla-Galindo, Javier</au><au>García-Méndez, Jorge Óscar</au><au>Márquez-Sánchez, Jessica</au><au>Reyes-Casarrubias, Rodrigo Estefano</au><au>Aguirre-Aguilar, Eduardo</au><au>Rocha-González, Héctor Isaac</au><au>Kammar-García, Ashuin</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A real-world observational study</atitle><jtitle>EXCLI journal</jtitle><addtitle>EXCLI J</addtitle><date>2021-01-01</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>20</volume><spage>199</spage><epage>222</epage><pages>199-222</pages><issn>1611-2156</issn><eissn>1611-2156</eissn><abstract>The aim of our study was to evaluate all-cause mortality risk in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Mexico City treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics. This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 24 and September 14, 2020 in 688 primary-to-tertiary medical units in Mexico City. Patients were included with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2; those receiving unspecified antivirals, excluded; and groups of antivirals prescribed in < 30 patients, eliminated. Survival and mortality risks were determined for patients receiving antivirals, antibiotics, both, or none. We assessed the effect of early (<2 days) versus late (>2 days) use of antivirals on mortality in a sub-cohort of patients. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, generalized estimating equations, and calculation of E-values were performed to limit confounding. 136,855 patients were analyzed; mean age 44.2 (SD:16.8) years; 51.3 % were men. 16.6 % received antivirals (3 %), antibiotics (10 %), or both (3.6 %). Antivirals studied were Oseltamivir (n=8414), Amantadine (n=319), Lopinavir-Ritonavir (n=100), Rimantadine (n=61), Zanamivir (n=39), and Acyclovir (n=36). Survival with antivirals (73.7 %, p<0.0001) and antibiotics (85.8 %, p<0.0001) was lower than no antiviral/antibiotic (93.6 %). After multivariable adjustment, increased risk of death occurred with antivirals (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84) in ambulatory (HR=4.7, 95 % CI: 3.94-5.62) and non-critical (HR=2.03, 95 % CI: 1.86-2.21) patients. Oseltamivir increased mortality risk in the general population (HR=1.72, 95 % CI: 1.61-1.84), ambulatory (HR=4.79, 95 % CI: 4.01-5.75), non-critical (HR=2.05, 95 % CI: 1.88-2.23), and pregnancy (HR=8.35, 95 % CI: 1.77-39.30); as well as hospitalized (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.26) and critical patients (HR=1.22, 95 % CI: 1.05-1.43) after propensity score-matching. Early versus late oseltamivir did not modify the risk. Antibiotics were a risk factor in general population (HR=1.13, 95 % CI: 1.08-1.19) and pediatrics (HR=4.22, 95 % CI: 2.01-8.86), but a protective factor in hospitalized (HR=0.81, 95 % CI: 0.77-0.86) and critical patients (HR=0.67, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.72). No significant benefit for repurposed antivirals was observed; oseltamivir was associated with increased mortality. Antibiotics increased mortality risk in the general population but may increase survival in hospitalized and critical patients.</abstract><cop>Germany</cop><pub>Leibniz Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors</pub><pmid>33628159</pmid><doi>10.17179/excli2021-3413</doi><tpages>24</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3875-0945</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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title | All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A real-world observational study |
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