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The quest for multidimensional financial immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets

•We examine the determinants of stock market immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic.•We study financial, economic, healthcare, governance, cultural, and law factors in 67 countries.•We apply machine learning techniques, panel regression, and factor analysis.•Low unemployment, conservative investments, an...

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Published in:Journal of international financial markets, institutions & money institutions & money, 2021-03, Vol.71, p.101284-101284, Article 101284
Main Authors: Zaremba, Adam, Kizys, Renatas, Tzouvanas, Panagiotis, Aharon, David Y., Demir, Ender
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:•We examine the determinants of stock market immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic.•We study financial, economic, healthcare, governance, cultural, and law factors in 67 countries.•We apply machine learning techniques, panel regression, and factor analysis.•Low unemployment, conservative investments, and limited valuations improve immunity to the pandemic.•Government policy responses tend to support stock markets in times of the COVID-19 outbreak. What determines a country’s financial immunity to a global pandemic? To answer this question, we investigate the behavior of 67 equity markets around the world during the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020. We consider a multidimensional data set that includes factors from finance, economics, demographics, technological development, healthcare, governance, culture, and law. Our study also accounts for government interventions, such as containment and closure policies, and economic stimuli. We apply machine learning techniques, panel regression, and factor analysis to ascertain sources of financial immunity to the coronavirus pandemic. Our findings demonstrate that stock markets in countries with low unemployment rates and populated with firms with conservative investment policies and low valuations relative to expected profits tend to be more immune to the healthcare crisis. We also find that firm government policy responses tend to support stock markets in times of the pandemic.
ISSN:1042-4431
1873-0612
1042-4431
DOI:10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101284