A35 FORECASTING THE INCIDENCE AND PREVALENCE OF INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE: A CANADIAN NATION-WIDE ANALYSIS

Abstract Background Canada is currently in the third epidemiological stage in the evolution of IBD: compounding prevalence. A high incidence of IBD, in conjunction with low mortality, leads to a steadily rising prevalence over time. By understanding historical epidemiological trends, we can forecast...

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Published in:Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology 2023-03, Vol.6 (Supplement_1), p.19-20
Main Authors: Coward, S, Benchimol, E I, Bernstein, C, Avina-Zubieta, J A, Bitton, A, Hracs, L, Jones, J, Kuenzig, E, Lu, L, Murthy, S K, Nugent, Z, Otley, A R, Panaccione, R, Pena-Sanchez, J -N, Singh, H, Targownik, L E, Windsor, J W, Kaplan, G
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Language:English
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Summary:Abstract Background Canada is currently in the third epidemiological stage in the evolution of IBD: compounding prevalence. A high incidence of IBD, in conjunction with low mortality, leads to a steadily rising prevalence over time. By understanding historical epidemiological trends, we can forecast incidence and prevalence into the future to inform healthcare systems in Canada of the rising burden of IBD to society. Purpose To analyze past epidemiological trends in order to forecast the overall incidence and prevalence of IBD, Crohn’s disease (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) and stratified by age (
ISSN:2515-2084
2515-2092
DOI:10.1093/jcag/gwac036.035