Climate Change Risk Research： A Case Study on Flood Disaster Risk in China

This paper discusses theories and methods of climate change risk studies for the research expansion in China. Climate change risks consist of three basic components including sensitivity, exposure, and possibility. Uncertainty, future events, damages, and relativity are the major features of climate...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Advances in climate change research 2012-06, Vol.3 (2), p.92-98
Main Authors: Shao-Hong, Wu, Tao, Pan, Shan-Feng, He
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
climate change
risk assessment
risk management
uncertainty
不确定性
中国
定量风险评估
气候变化
洪水风险
灾害风险
组成部分
风险管理
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Summary:This paper discusses theories and methods of climate change risk studies for the research expansion in China. Climate change risks consist of three basic components including sensitivity, exposure, and possibility. Uncertainty, future events, damages, and relativity are the major features of climate change risk. Climate change risk research includes two key steps： risk assessment and risk management, the former is the process, and the latter is the ultimate goal which is the basis for actions to address climate change. We present the main framework and methods for climate change risk research. A case study on China＇s floods risk is taken as an example of climate change risk study. Finally, we point out main aspects of climate change risk research, including ensemble-based probabilistic projection, quantitative risk assessment, risk zoning and mapping, and risk management.
ISSN:1674-9278
1674-9278
DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1248.2012.00092