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Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests

This article investigates linear and nonlinear causal linkages between fiscal deficits and current account deficits in a sample of 12 African countries using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2018:4. The results indicate evidence of unidirectional causality from current account deficits to the fi...

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Main Authors: Ahmad Hassan Ahmad, Olalekan B Aworinde
Format: Default Article
Published: 2019
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/11347142.v1
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author Ahmad Hassan Ahmad
Olalekan B Aworinde
author_facet Ahmad Hassan Ahmad
Olalekan B Aworinde
author_sort Ahmad Hassan Ahmad (1249758)
collection Figshare
description This article investigates linear and nonlinear causal linkages between fiscal deficits and current account deficits in a sample of 12 African countries using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2018:4. The results indicate evidence of unidirectional causality from current account deficits to the fiscal deficits in four countries while a unidirectional causality from fiscal deficit to current account deficit is found in five countries. Results from panel causality test revealed evidence of bidirectional causality between the two deficits. These conclusions suggest that policy to tackle one of the deficits should also take the other into consideration.
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institution Loughborough University
publishDate 2019
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spelling rr-article-113471422019-12-24T00:00:00Z Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests Ahmad Hassan Ahmad (1249758) Olalekan B Aworinde (8106695) Fiscal deficits Current account deficits Nonlinear causality African countries <div>This article investigates linear and nonlinear causal linkages between fiscal deficits and current account deficits in a sample of 12 African countries using quarterly data for the period 1980:1–2018:4. The results indicate evidence of unidirectional causality from current account deficits to the fiscal deficits in four countries while a unidirectional causality from fiscal deficit to current account deficit is found in five countries. Results from panel causality test revealed evidence of bidirectional causality between the two deficits. These conclusions suggest that policy to tackle one of the deficits should also take the other into consideration.<br></div> 2019-12-24T00:00:00Z Text Journal contribution 2134/11347142.v1 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Revisiting_the_twin_deficits_hypothesis_new_evidence_from_nonlinear_tests/11347142 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
spellingShingle Fiscal deficits
Current account deficits
Nonlinear causality
African countries
Ahmad Hassan Ahmad
Olalekan B Aworinde
Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title_full Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title_fullStr Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title_short Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
title_sort revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis: new evidence from nonlinear tests
topic Fiscal deficits
Current account deficits
Nonlinear causality
African countries
url https://hdl.handle.net/2134/11347142.v1