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Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?

There are a growing number of large-scale educational Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs). Considering their expense, it is important to reflect on the effectiveness of this approach. We assessed the magnitude and precision of effects found in those large-scale RCTs commissioned by the EEF (UK) and...

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Main Authors: Hugues Lortie-Forgues, Matthew Inglis
Format: Default Article
Published: 2019
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/36789
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author Hugues Lortie-Forgues
Matthew Inglis
author_facet Hugues Lortie-Forgues
Matthew Inglis
author_sort Hugues Lortie-Forgues (7157774)
collection Figshare
description There are a growing number of large-scale educational Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs). Considering their expense, it is important to reflect on the effectiveness of this approach. We assessed the magnitude and precision of effects found in those large-scale RCTs commissioned by the EEF (UK) and the NCEE (US) which evaluated interventions aimed at improving academic achievement in K-12 (141 RCTs; 1,222,024 students). The mean effect size was 0.06 standard deviations (SDs). These sat within relatively large confidence intervals (mean width 0.30 SDs) which meant that the results were often uninformative (the median Bayes factor was 0.56). We argue that our field needs, as a priority, to understand why educational RCTs often find small and uninformative effects.
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spelling rr-article-93692512019-03-11T00:00:00Z Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned? Hugues Lortie-Forgues (7157774) Matthew Inglis (1384290) Other education not elsewhere classified educational policy evaluation meta-analysis program evaluation There are a growing number of large-scale educational Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs). Considering their expense, it is important to reflect on the effectiveness of this approach. We assessed the magnitude and precision of effects found in those large-scale RCTs commissioned by the EEF (UK) and the NCEE (US) which evaluated interventions aimed at improving academic achievement in K-12 (141 RCTs; 1,222,024 students). The mean effect size was 0.06 standard deviations (SDs). These sat within relatively large confidence intervals (mean width 0.30 SDs) which meant that the results were often uninformative (the median Bayes factor was 0.56). We argue that our field needs, as a priority, to understand why educational RCTs often find small and uninformative effects. 2019-03-11T00:00:00Z Text Journal contribution 2134/36789 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Rigorous_large-scale_educational_RCTs_are_often_uninformative_Should_we_be_concerned_/9369251 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
spellingShingle Other education not elsewhere classified
educational policy
evaluation
meta-analysis
program evaluation
Hugues Lortie-Forgues
Matthew Inglis
Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title_full Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title_fullStr Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title_full_unstemmed Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title_short Rigorous large-scale educational RCTs are often uninformative: Should we be concerned?
title_sort rigorous large-scale educational rcts are often uninformative: should we be concerned?
topic Other education not elsewhere classified
educational policy
evaluation
meta-analysis
program evaluation
url https://hdl.handle.net/2134/36789