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Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours

While there have been many studies that examine contagion within the Euro-zone, this paper investigates the potential contagion from changes in the Greek sovereign risk premium over 2009-2016, as measured by the yield on 10 year government bonds, to six European countries outside of the Euro-zone al...

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Main Authors: Graham Bird, Wenti Du, Eric Pentecost, Thomas Willett
Format: Default Article
Published: 2017
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/27173
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author Graham Bird
Wenti Du
Eric Pentecost
Thomas Willett
author_facet Graham Bird
Wenti Du
Eric Pentecost
Thomas Willett
author_sort Graham Bird (3711442)
collection Figshare
description While there have been many studies that examine contagion within the Euro-zone, this paper investigates the potential contagion from changes in the Greek sovereign risk premium over 2009-2016, as measured by the yield on 10 year government bonds, to six European countries outside of the Euro-zone all of which operated a managed float against the Euro. We find evidence of contagion to potential Euro-zone ascendants (Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), but ‘flight to safety’ (or safe haven) effects for the United Kingdom, Sweden and Switzerland.
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institution Loughborough University
publishDate 2017
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spelling rr-article-94939522017-08-24T00:00:00Z Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours Graham Bird (3711442) Wenti Du (7195139) Eric Pentecost (1250553) Thomas Willett (7195142) Other economics not elsewhere classified Safe haven effects Contagion Sovereign risk premia Multivariate GARCH Economics not elsewhere classified While there have been many studies that examine contagion within the Euro-zone, this paper investigates the potential contagion from changes in the Greek sovereign risk premium over 2009-2016, as measured by the yield on 10 year government bonds, to six European countries outside of the Euro-zone all of which operated a managed float against the Euro. We find evidence of contagion to potential Euro-zone ascendants (Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), but ‘flight to safety’ (or safe haven) effects for the United Kingdom, Sweden and Switzerland. 2017-08-24T00:00:00Z Text Journal contribution 2134/27173 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Safe_haven_or_contagion_The_disparate_effects_of_Euro-zone_crises_on_non-Euro-zone_neighbours/9493952 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
spellingShingle Other economics not elsewhere classified
Safe haven effects
Contagion
Sovereign risk premia
Multivariate GARCH
Economics not elsewhere classified
Graham Bird
Wenti Du
Eric Pentecost
Thomas Willett
Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title_full Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title_fullStr Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title_full_unstemmed Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title_short Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours
title_sort safe haven or contagion? the disparate effects of euro-zone crises on non-euro-zone neighbours
topic Other economics not elsewhere classified
Safe haven effects
Contagion
Sovereign risk premia
Multivariate GARCH
Economics not elsewhere classified
url https://hdl.handle.net/2134/27173