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Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations

Uncertainties in the calibration of PV devices affect the power rating of modules and thus their value. The expanded measurement uncertainty in Pmax of modules at state-of-art indoor calibration facilities is between 1.6- 3.85% based on conventional Si technologies. The uncertainties of TF technolog...

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Main Authors: Blagovest Mihaylov, Martin Bliss, Tom Betts, Ralph Gottschalg
Format: Default Conference proceeding
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/13474
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author Blagovest Mihaylov
Martin Bliss
Tom Betts
Ralph Gottschalg
author_facet Blagovest Mihaylov
Martin Bliss
Tom Betts
Ralph Gottschalg
author_sort Blagovest Mihaylov (1258503)
collection Figshare
description Uncertainties in the calibration of PV devices affect the power rating of modules and thus their value. The expanded measurement uncertainty in Pmax of modules at state-of-art indoor calibration facilities is between 1.6- 3.85% based on conventional Si technologies. The uncertainties of TF technologies are agreed to be higher. The contributions from different uncertainty sources are combined according to the GUM Uncertainty Framework. The Framework has the limitation of considering only the mean and standard deviation of symmetric distributions. This paper advocates the use of the Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating the overall uncertainty of module calibration that is specific to the device-under-test and the measuring setup. Since the MC method retains all the information from the input quantities, more comprehensive probability density functions can be assigned to the main contributors. Recognised systematic effects can be accounted for by assigning asymmetric distributions to given contributions eliminating the need for correction. The use of the MC method for the total uncertainty calculation allows for a more detailed estimation of the input influences and their understanding and minimisation. In the simulated case study this led to reduction in uncertainty from ±2.5% in Isc to [+1.93%:-1.97%] for a 95% coverage interval.
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institution Loughborough University
publishDate 2013
record_format Figshare
spelling rr-article-95588692013-01-01T00:00:00Z Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations Blagovest Mihaylov (1258503) Martin Bliss (1250019) Tom Betts (1258395) Ralph Gottschalg (1247661) Mechanical engineering not elsewhere classified Uncertainty Monte Carlo Modules Calibration Mechanical Engineering not elsewhere classified Uncertainties in the calibration of PV devices affect the power rating of modules and thus their value. The expanded measurement uncertainty in Pmax of modules at state-of-art indoor calibration facilities is between 1.6- 3.85% based on conventional Si technologies. The uncertainties of TF technologies are agreed to be higher. The contributions from different uncertainty sources are combined according to the GUM Uncertainty Framework. The Framework has the limitation of considering only the mean and standard deviation of symmetric distributions. This paper advocates the use of the Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating the overall uncertainty of module calibration that is specific to the device-under-test and the measuring setup. Since the MC method retains all the information from the input quantities, more comprehensive probability density functions can be assigned to the main contributors. Recognised systematic effects can be accounted for by assigning asymmetric distributions to given contributions eliminating the need for correction. The use of the MC method for the total uncertainty calculation allows for a more detailed estimation of the input influences and their understanding and minimisation. In the simulated case study this led to reduction in uncertainty from ±2.5% in Isc to [+1.93%:-1.97%] for a 95% coverage interval. 2013-01-01T00:00:00Z Text Conference contribution 2134/13474 https://figshare.com/articles/conference_contribution/Uncertainty_considerations_of_indoor_PV_module_calibration_based_on_Monte_Carlo_simulations/9558869 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
spellingShingle Mechanical engineering not elsewhere classified
Uncertainty
Monte Carlo
Modules
Calibration
Mechanical Engineering not elsewhere classified
Blagovest Mihaylov
Martin Bliss
Tom Betts
Ralph Gottschalg
Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title_full Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title_fullStr Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title_short Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations
title_sort uncertainty considerations of indoor pv module calibration based on monte carlo simulations
topic Mechanical engineering not elsewhere classified
Uncertainty
Monte Carlo
Modules
Calibration
Mechanical Engineering not elsewhere classified
url https://hdl.handle.net/2134/13474