A seasonal forecasting procedure for reservoir inflows in Central Asia by Samuel G Dixon, Robert Wilby

“…This study develops a procedure for seasonal forecasting river discharge from headwaters above strategically important hydropower plants in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. The El Niño Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole indices were used as inputs. …”
Get full text

Modes of climate variability and associated bird communities in India by A. Mehta, Robert Wilby

“…This pilot study explores variations in bird communities in India under contrasting phases of the El NinoSouthern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). …”
Get full text

Seasonal forecasting of reservoir inflows in data sparse regions by Samuel G. Dixon

“…Second, mean summer inflows to reservoirs are conditioned on the tercile of preceding winter large scale climate modes (El Niño Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, or Indian Ocean Dipole). …”
Get full text

River channel conveyance capacity adjusts to modes of climate variability by Louise Slater, Abdou Khouakhi, Robert Wilby

“…This paper explores the relationship between river channel conveyance/geometry and three modes of climate variability (the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and Arctic Oscillation) using two-, five- and ten-year medians of channel measurements, streamflow, precipitation and climate indices over seven decades in 67 United States rivers. …”
Get full text

Utilizing GRACE-based groundwater drought index for drought characterization and teleconnection factors analysis in the North China Plain by Fei Wang, Zongmin Wang, Haibo Yang, Danyang Di, Yong Zhao, Qiuhua Liang

“…The results indicated that: (1) the quantitative results of GRACE were reliable and robust for drought evaluation; (2) the most serious drought event occurred from August 2013 to September 2014, with an average GGDI value of −1.36; (3) the monthly and seasonal droughts were increasing based on the modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) trend test method; and (4) the cross wavelet transform revealed that teleconnection factors had significant influences on drought evolution, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) had the strongest impact on drought in the NCP. …”
Get full text

A new copula-based standardized precipitation evapotranspiration streamflow index for drought monitoring by Fei Wang, Zongmin Wang, Haibo Yang, Danyang Di, Yong Zhao, Qiuhua Liang

“…The results indicated that: (1) based on the combination of meteorological and hydrological drought information, the constructed SPESI could capture the occurrence, duration and termination of drought sensitively and effectively; (2) the seasonal and annual droughts were increasing in the YRB during 1961–2015, with different temporal change characteristics in each subzone; (3) the month and season with the most serious drought was June and summer, with an average SPESI value of −1.23 and −0.89, respectively; (4) Frank-copula was considered to be the best-fitted copula function in the YRB; and (5) the cross wavelet transform illustrated that teleconnection factors had strong influences on the evolution of drought in the YRB, and the impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Arctic Oscillation (AO) and sunspot on the droughts were stronger than those of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). …”
Get full text

Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale by Paolo De-Luca, Gabriele Messori, Robert Wilby, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Giuliano Di Baldassarre

Get full text