Climate change and obesity: A global analysis

• Published in: Global food security 2021-06, Vol.29, p.100539, Article 100539
• Main Authors: Trentinaglia, Maria Teresa, Parolini, Marco, Donzelli, Franco, Olper, Alessandro
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: BMI; Climate change; Obesity; Temperature
• ISSN: 2211-9124; 2211-9124
• DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2021.100539

Climate change and obesity are two major concerns for policy makers globally, but can climate change be a driver of obesity? This is what our analysis tries to establish. To this purpose, we exploit inter-annual variations of the Body Mass Index (BMI) for children and adults in 134 countries over 39 years, to study to what extent changes in air temperature and precipitations affect obesity. Using panel data econometrics and exploiting both within- and cross-country variations in BMI, we uncovered a robust U-shaped associationbetween temperature and the BMI of girls, boys and women, but failed to detect any significant effect of precipitations. Our analysis also reveals that the impact of temperature on BMI, particularly for girls and women, is robust to the inclusion of other determinants of obesity stressed by the existing literature, such as GDP per capita, fertility, and agriculutral productivity, suggesting that mean air temperature is directly associated with, and may have an independent effect on, BMI. •Obesity and climate change are co-existing pandemics, but rarely examined together•Our analysis explores their relation on a global sample over 40 years•U-shaped curves characterize the association between air temperatures and Body Mass Index•This climate change-obesity relation raises food security concerns in developing countries•A 1 °C increase in temperatures in developing countries is associated to a 4 and 2% increase in the BMI of children and women