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Large dynamic covariance matrices: Enhancements based on intraday data

Multivariate GARCH models do not perform well in large dimensions due to the so-called curse of dimensionality. The recent DCC-NL model of Engle et al. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the unconditional correlation matrix. In this paper, we show how perform...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of banking & finance 2022-05, Vol.138, p.106426, Article 106426
Main Authors: De Nard, Gianluca, Engle, Robert F., Ledoit, Olivier, Wolf, Michael
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Multivariate GARCH models do not perform well in large dimensions due to the so-called curse of dimensionality. The recent DCC-NL model of Engle et al. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the unconditional correlation matrix. In this paper, we show how performance can be increased further by using open/high/low/close (OHLC) price data instead of simply using daily returns. A key innovation, for the improved modeling of not only dynamic variances but also of dynamic correlations, is the concept of a regularized return, obtained from a volatility proxy in conjunction with a smoothed sign of the observed return.
ISSN:0378-4266
1872-6372
DOI:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106426