A burden of proof study on alcohol consumption and ischemic heart disease

• Published in: Nature communications 2024-05, Vol.15 (1), p.4082-16, Article 4082
• Main Authors: Carr, Sinclair, Bryazka, Dana, McLaughlin, Susan A., Zheng, Peng, Bahadursingh, Sarasvati, Aravkin, Aleksandr Y., Hay, Simon I., Lawlor, Hilary R., Mullany, Erin C., Murray, Christopher J. L., Nicholson, Sneha I., Rehm, Jürgen, Roth, Gregory A., Sorensen, Reed J. D., Lewington, Sarah, Gakidou, Emmanuela
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: 692/308/174; 692/499; 692/699/75; Alcohol Drinking - epidemiology; Alcohol use; Alcoholic beverages; Alcohols; Cardiovascular disease; Cardiovascular diseases; Case-Control Studies; Cohort Studies; Control data (computers); Disease control; Female; Heart diseases; Humanities and Social Sciences; Humans; Ischemia; Male; Mendelian Randomization Analysis; Meta-analysis; Morbidity; multidisciplinary; Myocardial infarction; Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology; Myocardial Ischemia - epidemiology; Public health; Randomization; Risk; Risk Factors; Science; Science (multidisciplinary)
• ISSN: 2041-1723; 2041-1723
• DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47632-7

Cohort and case-control data have suggested an association between low to moderate alcohol consumption and decreased risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD), yet results from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies designed to reduce bias have shown either no or a harmful association. Here we conducted an updated systematic review and re-evaluated existing cohort, case-control, and MR data using the burden of proof meta-analytical framework. Cohort and case-control data show low to moderate alcohol consumption is associated with decreased IHD risk – specifically, intake is inversely related to IHD and myocardial infarction morbidity in both sexes and IHD mortality in males – while pooled MR data show no association, confirming that self-reported versus genetically predicted alcohol use data yield conflicting findings about the alcohol-IHD relationship. Our results highlight the need to advance MR methodologies and emulate randomized trials using large observational databases to obtain more definitive answers to this critical public health question. Alcohol use is commonplace and ischemic heart disease (IHD) the leading cause of death globally, yet their relationship is unclear. Here we show that study type determines whether research finds alcohol reduces IHD risk or is unrelated, arguing for new approaches to settle this critical debate.