Afghanistan's Security Environment

This report provides updated information on (1) the security situation as gauged by trends in enemy-initiated attacks; (2) challenges for U.S. reconstruction efforts posed by security conditions; and (3) recent increases in U.S., coalition, and Afghan troops and U.S. civilian presence. To address th...

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Main Authors: Johnson, Jr , Charles M, Kalkus, Hynek, Dasgupta, Aniruddha, Mulcare, Jonathan, Lord, Arthur, Deans, Karen, Gilbert, Cindy, Dowling, Mark, Green, Victoria, Moore, Charlotte, Sinkfeld, Jean
Format: Report
Language:English
Subjects:
AFGHANISTAN
CONSISTENCY
EMERGENCIES
ENVIRONMENTS
Government and Political Science
INTERNATIONAL POLITICS
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
MEASUREMENT
MILITARY PERSONNEL
NATIONAL SECURITY
RELIABILITY
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Summary:This report provides updated information on (1) the security situation as gauged by trends in enemy-initiated attacks; (2) challenges for U.S. reconstruction efforts posed by security conditions; and (3) recent increases in U.S., coalition, and Afghan troops and U.S. civilian presence. To address these objectives, we incorporated information from our past and continuing work and analyzed updated data on attacks. According to Defense Intelligence Agency officials, the data they report on enemy-initiated attacks represent a reliable and consistent source of information that can be used to identify trends in enemy activity and the overall security situation in Afghanistan. Moreover, senior DOD officials have used enemy-initiated attack levels as an indicator of the security situation in overseas contingency environments on several occasions. As such, while we acknowledge that these attack data are one measure of the security situation and are not intended to provide a comprehensive assessment of the Afghan security environment or the factors that affect it, we include them in this report for broad comparative purposes to identify trends in enemy activity over time. In addition to analyzing attack data, we also analyzed updated data on troop numbers and civilian presence and reviewed relevant documents from DOD, the Department of State (State), and the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), as well as the administration's Way Forward in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Additional details on our scope and methodology are provided later in this report.