A INFLUENCIA DA TAXA DE CAMBIO NA EXPORTACAO DE CARNE BOVINA E DE FRANGO

This study interprets how the changes in the exchange rate impacts in the exports' taxes of the two main chains of the meat complex (beef and chicken) and, in consequence, to the Brazilian exporter livestock sector. This article is divided into two main parts: a theoretical background is follow...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Agroalimentaria Caracas 2018-07, Vol.24 (47), p.77
Main Authors: Alves, Joao Rafael Caitano, Sobral, Marcos Felipe Falcao, Lima, Telma Lucia de Andrade, Melo, Andre de Souza
Format: Article
Language:Spanish
Subjects:
Analysis
Beef
Exports
International economic relations
International trade
Livestock industry
Meat
Meat industry
Money
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Summary:This study interprets how the changes in the exchange rate impacts in the exports' taxes of the two main chains of the meat complex (beef and chicken) and, in consequence, to the Brazilian exporter livestock sector. This article is divided into two main parts: a theoretical background is followed by the use of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), in order to check the influence of fluctuations in the exchange rate and others endogenous variables on the exported volume in tons, of beef and chicken. The VAR results were verified through of the evaluation of the changes in the scale of relevance of the series, and especially the exchange. What was observed was that exchange rate suffered fluctuations cause impacts in the exports of the meat complex, which can interfere in the Brazilian economy, especially in the production sector of the chicken meat. Key words: Autoregressive vector model, Brazil, Brazilian economy, exchange rate, exports, meat complex, VAR O presente estudo interpreta de que forma as alteracoes na taxa de cambio impactam a exportacao das duas principais cadeias do complexo de carnes (bovina e de frango) e, por consequencia, o setor pecuario exportador brasileiro. Este artigo divide-se em duas partes principais: fundamento teorico seguido pela utilizacao do modelo de autorregressao vetorial (VAR) para verificar a influencia das oscilacoes na taxa de cambio e outras variaveis endogenas sobre o volume exportado, em toneladas, da carne bovina e de frango. Os resultados do VAR sao verificados avaliando as alteracoes nos graus de relevancia das series, e particularmente do cambio. O que se observou foi que oscilacoes cambiais ocasionam impactos sobre as exportacoes do complexo de carnes, das quais podem interferir na economia brasileira, especialmente no setor de producao da carne de frango. Palavras-chave: autorregressao vetorial, Brasil, cambio, complexo de carnes, economia brasileira, exportacoes, VAR El objetivo de este estudio es analizar como las variaciones en la tasa de cambio afectan las exportaciones de las dos principales cadenas de complejo carnico (carne de bovino y de pollo) y, por lo tanto, al sector pecuario exportador brasileno. Este articulo se divide en dos partes principales: luego de un reducido marco teorico, se estimo un modelo de vectores autorregresivos (VAR) para comprobar la influencia de las fluctuaciones de la tasa de cambio y otras variables endogenas en el volumen exportado (medido en toneladas) de carne bovina y d
ISSN:1316-0354