ViEWS: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System

This article presents an update to the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System. This update introduces (1) a new infrastructure for training, evaluating, and weighting models that allows us to more optimally combine constituent models into ensembles, and (2) a number of new forecasting models...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of peace research 2021-05, Vol.58 (3), p.599-611
Main Authors: Hegre, Håvard, Bell, Curtis, Colaresi, Michael, Croicu, Mihai, Hoyles, Frederick, Jansen, Remco, Leis, Maxine Ria, Lindqvist-McGowan, Angelica, Randahl, David, Rød, Espen Geelmuyden, Vesco, Paola
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Africa
armed conflict
ensemble modeling
forecasting
model criticism
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