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A simulation-based method to inform serosurvey design for estimating the force of infection using existing blood samples
The extent to which dengue virus has been circulating globally and especially in Africa is largely unknown. Testing available blood samples from previous cross-sectional serological surveys offers a convenient strategy to investigate past dengue infections, as such serosurveys provide the ideal data...
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Published in: | PLoS computational biology 2023-11, Vol.19 (11), p.e1011666 |
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creator | Vicco, Anna McCormack, Clare P Pedrique, Belen Amuasi, John H Awuah, Anthony Afum-Adjei Obirikorang, Christian Struck, Nicole S Lorenz, Eva May, Jürgen Ribeiro, Isabela Malavige, Gathsaurie Neelika Donnelly, Christl A Dorigatti, Ilaria |
description | The extent to which dengue virus has been circulating globally and especially in Africa is largely unknown. Testing available blood samples from previous cross-sectional serological surveys offers a convenient strategy to investigate past dengue infections, as such serosurveys provide the ideal data to reconstruct the age-dependent immunity profile of the population and to estimate the average per-capita annual risk of infection: the force of infection (FOI), which is a fundamental measure of transmission intensity. In this study, we present a novel methodological approach to inform the size and age distribution of blood samples to test when samples are acquired from previous surveys. The method was used to inform SERODEN, a dengue seroprevalence survey which is currently being conducted in Ghana among other countries utilizing samples previously collected for a SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey. The method described in this paper can be employed to determine sample sizes and testing strategies for different diseases and transmission settings. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011666 |
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Testing available blood samples from previous cross-sectional serological surveys offers a convenient strategy to investigate past dengue infections, as such serosurveys provide the ideal data to reconstruct the age-dependent immunity profile of the population and to estimate the average per-capita annual risk of infection: the force of infection (FOI), which is a fundamental measure of transmission intensity. In this study, we present a novel methodological approach to inform the size and age distribution of blood samples to test when samples are acquired from previous surveys. The method was used to inform SERODEN, a dengue seroprevalence survey which is currently being conducted in Ghana among other countries utilizing samples previously collected for a SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey. The method described in this paper can be employed to determine sample sizes and testing strategies for different diseases and transmission settings.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1553-7358</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1553-734X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1553-7358</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011666</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38011203</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Age composition ; Age groups ; Antibodies, Viral ; Binomial distribution ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Blood ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Dengue ; Dengue fever ; Disease transmission ; Earth Sciences ; Estimates ; Ghana - epidemiology ; Health risks ; Humans ; Infections ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Pathogens ; People and Places ; Population ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Sample size ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Seroepidemiologic Studies ; Serological surveys ; Serology ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ; Simulation ; Social Sciences ; Surveillance ; Vector-borne diseases ; Viral diseases</subject><ispartof>PLoS computational biology, 2023-11, Vol.19 (11), p.e1011666</ispartof><rights>Copyright: © 2023 Vicco et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</rights><rights>2023 Vicco et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2023 Vicco et al 2023 Vicco et al</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2755-6288d0a5d65bac42cf6362f4ee6361890aaa5c3dc0f3081b08139d6cd8fee7a43</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-8912-9673 ; 0000-0002-8640-2662 ; 0000-0002-4753-5841 ; 0000-0001-9959-0706 ; 0000-0002-6555-3090</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/3069179698?pq-origsite=primo$$EPDF$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/3069179698?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,885,25752,27923,27924,37011,37012,38515,43894,44589,53790,53792,74183,74897</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38011203$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><contributor>Perkins, Alex</contributor><creatorcontrib>Vicco, Anna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McCormack, Clare P</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pedrique, Belen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Amuasi, John H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Awuah, Anthony Afum-Adjei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Obirikorang, Christian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Struck, Nicole S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lorenz, Eva</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>May, Jürgen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ribeiro, Isabela</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Malavige, Gathsaurie Neelika</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Donnelly, Christl A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dorigatti, Ilaria</creatorcontrib><title>A simulation-based method to inform serosurvey design for estimating the force of infection using existing blood samples</title><title>PLoS computational biology</title><addtitle>PLoS Comput Biol</addtitle><description>The extent to which dengue virus has been circulating globally and especially in Africa is largely unknown. Testing available blood samples from previous cross-sectional serological surveys offers a convenient strategy to investigate past dengue infections, as such serosurveys provide the ideal data to reconstruct the age-dependent immunity profile of the population and to estimate the average per-capita annual risk of infection: the force of infection (FOI), which is a fundamental measure of transmission intensity. In this study, we present a novel methodological approach to inform the size and age distribution of blood samples to test when samples are acquired from previous surveys. The method was used to inform SERODEN, a dengue seroprevalence survey which is currently being conducted in Ghana among other countries utilizing samples previously collected for a SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey. 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subjects | Age composition Age groups Antibodies, Viral Binomial distribution Biology and Life Sciences Blood Cross-Sectional Studies Dengue Dengue fever Disease transmission Earth Sciences Estimates Ghana - epidemiology Health risks Humans Infections Medicine and Health Sciences Pathogens People and Places Population Research and Analysis Methods Sample size SARS-CoV-2 Seroepidemiologic Studies Serological surveys Serology Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Simulation Social Sciences Surveillance Vector-borne diseases Viral diseases |
title | A simulation-based method to inform serosurvey design for estimating the force of infection using existing blood samples |
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