Securitization, Risk-Taking and the Option to Change Strategy

This article models the riskiness of structured securitization deals. The deals are put together by “banks,” which can exercise strategic options over the risk put into the deals. The banks face a trade‐off between the benefits of risk‐taking now and future franchise benefits if the deal pays off. T...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Real estate economics 2014-06, Vol.42 (2), p.343-362
Main Authors: Lai, Rose Neng, Van Order, Robert
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Banking industry
Risk management
Securitization
Strategic management
Studies
Tradeoff analysis
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Summary:This article models the riskiness of structured securitization deals. The deals are put together by “banks,” which can exercise strategic options over the risk put into the deals. The banks face a trade‐off between the benefits of risk‐taking now and future franchise benefits if the deal pays off. The key insight is a convex relationship between the value of the bank's equity position and the risk in the deal. Although there is a continuum of possible risk, banks choose either the highest or lowest levels of risk open to them. Changes in strategy are discontinuous and unpredictable; a history of low risk‐taking may be a prelude to increased risk‐taking later. Competition, to the extent of reducing franchise value, can lead to more risk‐taking, as can more information in the market. The model provides insights into the risk‐taking that led up to the Great Recession and to institutions that are “Too Big to Fail.”
ISSN:1080-8620
1540-6229
DOI:10.1111/1540-6229.12040