Long-term historic changes in climatic variables of Betwa Basin, India

• Published in: Theoretical and applied climatology 2014-08, Vol.117 (3-4), p.403-418
• Main Authors: Suryavanshi, Shakti, Pandey, Ashish, Chaube, Umesh Chandra, Joshi, Nitin
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Analysis; Aquatic Pollution; Aquatic resources; Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution; Atmospheric Sciences; Cereal crops; Climate change; Climatology; Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Earth, ocean, space; Exact sciences and technology; External geophysics; India; Management; Meteorology; Monsoons; Original Paper; Precipitation; Precipitation (Meteorology); Seasons; Summer; Temperature; Waste Water Technology; Water; Water Management; Water Pollution Control; Water resources development; Winter
• ISSN: 0177-798X; 1434-4483
• DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-1013-y

In this study, trend analyses of historic past climatic variables were investigated for the Betwa basin located in Central India. In the serially independent climatic variables, Mann–Kendall test (MK test) was applied to the original sample data. However, in the serially correlated series, pre-whitening is used before employing the MK test. The long-term trend analysis showed several of the meteorological stations to exhibit a decreasing trend in annual and seasonal precipitation in the study area. Seasonal and yearly numbers of rainy days are decreased. However, onset of effective monsoon (except for Shivpuri and Tikamgarh stations) did not show any trend during the study period. For maximum temperature, five out of 12 stations showed a decreasing trend in monsoon season whereas almost all other stations showed an increasing trend in winter and no trend in summer season. For minimum temperature, only two stations of the basin showed a decreasing trend in monsoon and all other stations exhibited a significant increase in winter and summer season. The increase of winter temperature may adversely affect the growth of Rabi crop (wheat and mustard) in the study area. Potential evopotranspiration (PET) did not show any trend in monsoon, except for Jalaun and Jhansi stations, showing decreasing trends. Raisen and Vidisha stations showed an increasing trend in winter only, and the trend for other stations were random in nature. In summer, five out of 12 stations showed an increasing trend in PET. Results of this study can be employed in preparation of water resources development and management plan in the Betwa Basin.