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Dynamics of energy technologies and global change

A critique of a previous Energy Policy article is presented. Dr. Grubler and his co-authors (Energy Policy 27 (5), 1999) have clearly shown the significance of incorporating a technological improvement component into modeling the evolution of the supply and demand for energy. Given their belief in t...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy policy 1999-11, Vol.27 (12), p.737-742
Main Author: Odell, Peter R.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:A critique of a previous Energy Policy article is presented. Dr. Grubler and his co-authors (Energy Policy 27 (5), 1999) have clearly shown the significance of incorporating a technological improvement component into modeling the evolution of the supply and demand for energy. Given their belief in technological advances, it is very surprising to find that they do not consider technological changes which will eliminate the currently perceived limits on the supply of oil and natural gas as a consequence of relatively near-future depletion of resources. It is thus clear that their article incorporates in inherent internal contradiction between their acceptance of this status quo view of the future of oil and gas and their insistence on the power of the incentives for innovation to enable new energy technologies (such as solar and nuclear) to diffuse into widespread use.
ISSN:0301-4215
1873-6777
DOI:10.1016/S0301-4215(99)00037-3