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Average skewness matters

Average skewness, which is the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This prediction still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. Also, average skewness compares favorably...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of financial economics 2019-10, Vol.134 (1), p.29-47
Main Authors: Jondeau, Eric, Zhang, Qunzi, Zhu, Xiaoneng
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Average skewness, which is the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This prediction still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. Also, average skewness compares favorably with other economic and financial predictors of subsequent market returns. The asset allocation exercise based on predictive regressions also shows that average skewness generates superior performance.
ISSN:0304-405X
1879-2774
DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.03.003