A comparative evaluation of landslide susceptibility mapping using machine learning-based methods in Bogor area of Indonesia

• Published in: Environmental earth sciences 2024-02, Vol.83 (3), p.86, Article 86
• Main Authors: Melati, Dian Nuraini, Umbara, Raditya Panji, Astisiasari, Astisiasari, Wisyanto, Wisyanto, Trisnafiah, Syakira, Trinugroho, Trinugroho, Prawiradisastra, Firman, Arifianti, Yukni, Ramdhani, Taufik Iqbal, Arifin, Samsul, Anggreainy, Maria Susan
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Accuracy; Algorithms; Biogeosciences; Casualties; Decision trees; Disaster management; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Emergency preparedness; Environmental Science and Engineering; Evaluation; Geochemistry; Geological hazards; Geology; Hydrology/Water Resources; Landslides; Learning algorithms; Machine learning; Mapping; Mitigation; Original Article; Records; Specificity; Susceptibility; Terrestrial Pollution
• ISSN: 1866-6280; 1866-6299
• DOI: 10.1007/s12665-023-11402-3

Landslide is one of the most highly frequent natural hazards that can bring serious casualties. One of the most susceptible landslide regions in Indonesia is Bogor area (the Regency and City of Bogor), which records the highest landslide events in the Province of West Java, Indonesia. An assessment of landslide susceptibility is one of the mitigation measures that can spatially model the zone of landslide hazard. Recently, the Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM) model has been developed using Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. However, there is still no agreement yet on which ML technique is the most appropriate for LSM. Accordingly, this paper aims to explore and compare the 7 ML algorithms for generating the most promising LSM. The LSM uses the available 13 landslide causal factors and a dataset consisting of 822 authorized landslide records and 822 prepared non-landslide points. The resulting LSMs are classified into 5 susceptibility levels, and evaluated through the Area Under Curve (AUC) of the Receiver-Operating Curve (ROC) and statistical indices (sensitivity, specificity, precision, F 1-score, and accuracy). The resulting LSMs present that: (1) the very high (VH) class has the largest area percentage in all LSM models, (2) generally, the 7 MLs perform excellent for achieving > 90% AUC value, except for the Decision Tree (DT) (87.68%) in model classification, and (3) moreover, the overall accuracy (ACC) reflects that Random Forest (RF) outperforms the other MLs in model prediction. With this promising result, ML-based LSM models can be promoted as one of the mitigation measures for landslide disaster management.