Managing the Low-Carbon Transition – From Model Results to Policies

Model analysis within the ADAM project has shown that achieving low greenhouse gas concentration levels, e.g. at 400ppm CO₂-eq, is technologically feasible at costs of a few percent of GDP. However, models simplify the dynamics involved in implementing climate policy and the results depend on critic...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Energy journal (Cambridge, Mass.) Mass.), 2010-06, Vol.31 (1_suppl), p.223-245
Main Authors: Knopf, Brigitte, Edenhofer, Ottmar, Flachsland, Christian, Kok, Marcel T. J., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Luderer, Gunnar, Popp, Alexander, van Vuuren, Detlef P.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
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Carbon dioxide
Climate change
Climate change policy
Climate models
Climate policy
Cost analysis
Design factors
Economic models
Emissions policy
Greenhouse gas emissions
Greenhouse gases
Pollutant emissions
Renewable energy
Sustainable agriculture
Technology policy
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Summary:Model analysis within the ADAM project has shown that achieving low greenhouse gas concentration levels, e.g. at 400ppm CO₂-eq, is technologically feasible at costs of a few percent of GDP. However, models simplify the dynamics involved in implementing climate policy and the results depend on critical model assumptions such as global participation in climate policy and full availability of current and newly evolving technologies. The design of a low stabilization policy regime in the real world depends on factors that can only be partly covered by models. In this context, the paper reflects on limits of the integrated assessment models used to explore climate policy and addresses the issues of (i) how global participation might be achieved, (ii) which kind of options are available to induce deep GHG reductions inside and outside the energy sector, and (iii) which risks and which co-benefits of mitigation options are not assessed by the models.
ISSN:0195-6574
1944-9089
DOI:10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol31-NoSI-9