Rainfall and temperature affect tree species distribution in Ghana

We evaluated the relative importance of annual rainfall, temperature and their seasonality to tree species distribution in Ghana. We used species presence/absence data from 2505 1-ha plots systematically distributed over Ghana's forests. Logistic regression was used to determine species respons...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of tropical ecology 2014-09, Vol.30 (5), p.435-446
Main Authors: Amissah, Lucy, Mohren, Godefridus M. J., Bongers, Frans, Hawthorne, William D., Poorter, Lourens
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Agricultural and forest climatology and meteorology. Irrigation. Drainage
Agricultural and forest meteorology
Agronomy. Soil science and plant productions
Biological and medical sciences
Climate change
Climatic adaptation. Acclimatization
Dispersal
Drought
Forest cover
Forest ecology
Forest reserves
Forest trees
Forests
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
General agronomy. Plant production
Plant ecology
Plant species
Rain
Rainfall
Seasonal variations
Temperature
Temperature distribution
Trees
Tropical forests
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Summary:We evaluated the relative importance of annual rainfall, temperature and their seasonality to tree species distribution in Ghana. We used species presence/absence data from 2505 1-ha plots systematically distributed over Ghana's forests. Logistic regression was used to determine species responses to four climatic variables generated from the Worldclim database. The distribution of 95% of 20 species was significantly associated with annual rainfall, 60% with rainfall seasonality, 45% with isothermality and 40% with temperature seasonality. Annual rainfall explained on average most of the variation (17%, range = 0.5–52%) in species distribution, followed by rainfall seasonality 5% (range = 0.5–27%), isothermality 4% (range = 0.8–24%) and temperature seasonality 1% (range = 0.4–4.5%). Our results suggest that, out of the climatic variables investigated, rainfall is the main factor determining tree species distribution in Ghana; temperature also influences the distribution of a number of species, although it explains much less of the variation. The reduction in annual rainfall that prevailing climate-change scenarios predict for the region will result in a shift in the distribution of most species, whereas the predicted increase in temperature variation is likely to have little effect.
ISSN:0266-4674
1469-7831
DOI:10.1017/S026646741400025X