Trust, confidence, familiarity, and support for land‐based recirculating aquaculture facilities

• Published in: Risk analysis 2023-07, Vol.43 (7), p.1339-1355
• Main Authors: Johnson, Branden B., Rickard, Laura N.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Aquaculture; Aquaculture facilities; Confidence; Confirmatory factor analysis; Cooperation; Familiarity; Fish; Government; Humans; Indirect effects; Judgments; Past performance; Risk analysis; Risk assessment; Risk Assessment - methods; risk communication; Risk perception; Siting; Trust; United States
• ISSN: 0272-4332; 1539-6924; 1539-6924
• DOI: 10.1111/risa.14015

Surveys in three U.S. localities (n = 523) with proposed or existing land‐based aquaculture facilities probed trust's relationship with perceived net benefits and public intentions to cooperate with siting of this novel technology. The trust, confidence, and cooperation (TCC) model posits that shared values shape willingness to be vulnerable to others (trust), while past performance shapes certainty that others will behave as expected (confidence). Trust affects confidence given moral outweighs performance information, possibly varying by familiarity. Other research suggests that trust shapes benefit and risk perceptions, which drive cooperation (defined here by potentially observable behavior: voting on siting, trying to influence government decisions directly or through citizen groups, and buying or eating facility fish). Confirmatory factor analyses suggested that a two‐factor model fit the trust/confidence measures better than a one‐factor model or a two‐factor model without inter‐factor correlation, indicating (despite a strong association of trust and confidence) that they are empirically distinct. Path analyses suggested that trust had stronger direct effects on cooperation than did confidence, reflecting the TCC notion that moral information underlying trust judgments is more influential, and stronger indirect effects through benefit‐risk judgments. Model fit was better than if the benefit‐risk mediator was omitted. Trust in government had a small direct effect on cooperation and confidence, but a large effect on trust in the corporation, and model fit was much worse if any of these paths was omitted. Low familiarity with the project lowered both model fit and trust–confidence association. We discuss implications for risk analysis theory and practice.