Price discovery in the aluminum market

An extended version of the S. Beveridge and C. R. Nelson (1981) decomposition and a latent variable approach are used to examine how the noise content, and therefore the informativeness, of four aluminum prices that have been quoted at various times since 1970—the (now defunct) U.S. producer price,...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The journal of futures markets 2005-10, Vol.25 (10), p.967-988
Main Authors: Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel, Gilbert, Christopher L.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Aluminium
Aluminum
Capital market
Contracts
Finance
Futures
Information
Liquidity
Noise
Prices
Studies
Trade
Transparency
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Summary:An extended version of the S. Beveridge and C. R. Nelson (1981) decomposition and a latent variable approach are used to examine how the noise content, and therefore the informativeness, of four aluminum prices that have been quoted at various times since 1970—the (now defunct) U.S. producer price, a transactions price reported in a trade journal, and the LME and Comex exchange prices. It was found that the start of aluminum futures trading in 1978 resulted in greater price transparency in the sense that the information content of transactions prices increased. LME prices quickly came to be more informative than published transactions prices. Although the initial Comex aluminum contract failed to attract liquidity and had low information content, the 1999 contract, trading currently, is as transparent as the LME contract. © 2005Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 25:967–988, 2005
ISSN:0270-7314
1096-9934
DOI:10.1002/fut.20173