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A Framework for Assessing Immunological Correlates of Protection in Vaccine Trials

A central goal of vaccine research is to identify a vaccine-induced immune response that predicts protection from infection or disease. The term "correlate of protection" has been used to refer to at least 3 distinct concepts, which has resulted in confusion surrounding this topic. We prop...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Journal of infectious diseases 2007-11, Vol.196 (9), p.1304-1312
Main Authors: Qin, Li, Gilbert, Peter B., Corey, Lawrence, McElrath, M. Juliana, Self, Steven G.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:A central goal of vaccine research is to identify a vaccine-induced immune response that predicts protection from infection or disease. The term "correlate of protection" has been used to refer to at least 3 distinct concepts, which has resulted in confusion surrounding this topic. We propose precise definitions of these different concepts of immune correlates, using the nomenclature "correlate of risk," "level 1 surrogate of protection," and "level 2 surrogate of protection." We suggest a general framework for assessing these 3 levels of immune correlates in vaccine efficacy trials. To demonstrate the proposed principles, we analyze data from a 1943 influenza vaccine field trial, supporting Weiss strain A—specific antibody titers as a level 1 surrogate of protection. Other real and simulated examples are also discussed.
ISSN:0022-1899
1537-6613
DOI:10.1086/522428