Temperature-induced excess mortality in Moscow, Russia

After considering the observed long-term trends in average monthly temperatures distribution in Moscow, the authors evaluated how acute mortality responded to changes in daily average, minimum and maximum temperatures throughout the year, and identified vulnerable population groups, by age and cause...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:International journal of biometeorology 2008-05, Vol.52 (5), p.367-374
Main Authors: Revich, Boris, Shaposhnikov, Dmitri
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Animal Physiology
Bgi / Prodig
Bioclimatology
Biological and Medical Physics
Biophysics
Cardiovascular diseases
Child
Child, Preschool
Climate
Climatology
Cold
Cold Climate
Earth and Environmental Science
Environment
Environmental Health
Female
Greenhouse Effect
heat
Hot Temperature
Humans
Infant
Infant, Newborn
Male
Meteorology
Middle Aged
Mortality
Mortality - trends
Moscow
Original Paper
Physical geography
Plant Physiology
Respiratory diseases
Seasons
Temperature
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:After considering the observed long-term trends in average monthly temperatures distribution in Moscow, the authors evaluated how acute mortality responded to changes in daily average, minimum and maximum temperatures throughout the year, and identified vulnerable population groups, by age and causes of death. A plot of the basic mortality-temperature relationship indicated that this relationship was V-shaped with the minimum around 18°C. Each 1°C increment of average daily temperature above 18°C resulted in an increase in deaths from all non-accidental causes by 2.8%, from coronary heart disease by 2.7%, from cerebrovascular diseases by 4.7%, and from respiratory diseases by 8.7%, with a lag of 0 or 1 day. Each 1°C drop of average daily temperature from +18°C to -10°C resulted in an increase in deaths from all non-accidental causes by 0.49%, from coronary heart disease by 0.57%, from cerebrovascular diseases by 0.78%, and from respiratory diseases by 1.5%, with lags of maximum association varying from 3 days for non-accidental mortality to 6 days for cerebrovascular mortality. In the age group 75+ years, corresponding risks were consistently higher by 13-30%. The authors also estimated the increase in non-accidental deaths against the variation of daily temperatures. For each 1°C increase of variation of temperature throughout the day, mortality increased by 0.3-1.9%, depending on other assumptions of the model.
ISSN:0020-7128
1432-1254
DOI:10.1007/s00484-007-0131-6