Predictive value of pulmonary function parameters for sleep apnea syndrome

• Published in: American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine 2000-12, Vol.162 (6), p.2208-2212
• Main Authors: ZERAH-LANCNER, Francoise, LOFASO, Frederic, D'ORTHO, Marie Pia, DELCLAUX, Christophe, GOLDENBERG, Francoise, COSTE, André, HOUSSET, Bruno, HARF, Alain
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Biological and medical sciences; Female; Humans; Least-Squares Analysis; Logistic Models; Male; Medical sciences; Pneumology; Polysomnography - methods; Polysomnography - statistics & numerical data; Prognosis; Reproducibility of Results; Respiratory Function Tests - methods; Respiratory Function Tests - statistics & numerical data; Respiratory Physiological Phenomena; Respiratory system : syndromes and miscellaneous diseases; ROC Curve; Sensitivity and Specificity; Sleep Apnea Syndromes - diagnosis; Sleep Apnea Syndromes - physiopathology; Snoring - diagnosis; Snoring - physiopathology
• ISSN: 1073-449X; 1535-4970
• DOI: 10.1164/ajrccm.162.6.2002002

Nocturnal polysomnography is the standard diagnostic test for sleep apnea syndrome (SAS) but is both expensive and time-consuming. We developed a predictive index for SAS based on pulmonary function data, including respiratory resistance determined by the forced oscillation technique, from 168 obese snorers with suspected SAS. Our model used logistic regression to obtain case-by-case predictions of the probability of SAS, defined as an apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) > or = 15 during overnight polysomnography. We then tested our model in a prospective group of 101 similar patients. Specific respiratory conductance and daytime oxygen saturation contributed significantly to the model. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the index computed from these parameters were 98%, 86%, 90%, and 97%, respectively. In the prospective group, the model proved repeatable, with 100% sensitivity, 84% specificity, 86% PPV, and 100% NPV. The high NPV may help to identify obese snorers with a SAS risk that is so low as to make polysomnography unnecessary. Based on the 50% prevalence of SAS in our study and on the fact that polysomnography is required in all patients with daytime somnolence, we calculated that using our model would have obviated the need for polysomnography in 38% of our patients.