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A recent build-up of atmospheric CO2 over Europe. Part 1: observed signals and possible explanations

We analysed interannual and decadal changes in the atmospheric CO 2 concentration gradient (ΔCO 2 ) between Europe and the Atlantic Ocean over the period 1995-2007. Fourteen measurement stations are used, with Mace-Head being used to define background conditions. The variability of ΔCO 2 reflects fo...

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Published in:Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology Chemical and physical meteorology, 2010-02, Vol.62 (1), p.1-13
Main Authors: Ramonet, Michel, Ciais, Philippe, Aalto, Tuula, Aulagnier, Céeline, Chevallier, FrédSéric, Cipriano, Domenico, Conway, Thomas, Haszpra, Laszlo, Kazan, Victor, Meinhardt, Frank, Paris, Jean-Daniel, Schmid, Martina, Simmonds, Peter, Xueref-Rémy, IRéNE, Necki, Jaroslaw
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Language:English
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Summary:We analysed interannual and decadal changes in the atmospheric CO 2 concentration gradient (ΔCO 2 ) between Europe and the Atlantic Ocean over the period 1995-2007. Fourteen measurement stations are used, with Mace-Head being used to define background conditions. The variability of ΔCO 2 reflects fossil fuel emissions and natural sinks activity over Europe, as well as atmospheric transport variability. The mean ΔCO 2 increased by 1-2 ppm at Eastern European stations (∼30% growth), between 1990-1995 and 2000-2005. This built up of CO 2 over the continent is predominantly a winter signal. If the observed increase of ΔCO 2 is explained by changes in ecosystem fluxes, a loss of about 0.46 Pg C per year would be required during 2000-2005. Even if severe droughts have impacted Western Europe in 2003 and 2005, a sustained CO 2 loss of that magnitude is unlikely to be true.We sought alternative explanations for the observed CO 2 build-up into transport changes and into regional redistribution of fossil fuel CO 2 emissions. Boundary layer heights becoming shallower can only explain 32% of the variance of the signal. Regional changes of emissions may explain up to 27% of the build-up. More insights are given in the Aulagnier et al. companion paper.
ISSN:0280-6509
1600-0889
DOI:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2009.00442.x