Potential Labor Force Supply and Replacement in Mexico and the States of the Mexican Cession and Texas: 1980-2000

Efforts to anticipate and account for future migration patterns would seem to hinge on an examination of the potential for the supply, demand and replacement of labor. In Mexico, the projected number of males entering the labor force ages will be about 48 percent larger in the 1980s than in the 1970...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The International migration review 1983-01, Vol.17 (3), p.394-409
Main Authors: Bradshaw, Benjamin S., Frisbie, W. Parker
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Age
Americas
Arizona
ARMED FORCES AND POLICE
California
Censuses
Central America
Colorado
Demography
Developed Countries
Developing Countries
ECONOMICS
Emigration and Immigration
Employment
FERTILITY
Forecasting
Health Manpower
International migration
Labor
Labor force
Labor migration
LABOR UNIONS (BUT NOT GUILDS)
Latin America
MALE SEX
MEXICO
Mexico/Mexican/Mexicans
Migration
MIGRATION, IMMIGRATION AND EMIGRATION
Mortality
Nevada
New Mexico
North America
Population
Population Dynamics
Population migration
Statistics as Topic
TEXAS
United States
Utah
Workforce
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Summary:Efforts to anticipate and account for future migration patterns would seem to hinge on an examination of the potential for the supply, demand and replacement of labor. In Mexico, the projected number of males entering the labor force ages will be about 48 percent larger in the 1980s than in the 1970s and entrants will outnumber departures by a labor force replacement ratio of 407 to 100-a fifty year high. Fertility declined significantly in Mexico in the 1970s, and therefore the number of new entrants to the labor force ages in the 1990s will decline; the replacement ratio is projected to be about 330 to 100-a decrease of 19 percent. Nevertheless, it seems very unlikely, even allowing for renewed rapid growth in Mexico's economy, that new job opportunities can be created to accommodate such an enormous influx to the job market. Accommodations may be made more difficult because of increasing expectations of workers.
ISSN:0197-9183
1747-7379
DOI:10.2307/2545794