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Excess Deaths During the COVID-19 Economic Downturn

More than 700 000 people have died from COVID-19 in the United States over the last year and a half since the pandemic began.1 Measures to stop the spread of COVID-19, such as stay-at-home orders and business closures, together with severe disruptions in overall economic activity brought about a sho...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:American journal of public health (1971) 2021-11, Vol.111 (11), p.1947-1949
Main Author: Pagan, José A
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:More than 700 000 people have died from COVID-19 in the United States over the last year and a half since the pandemic began.1 Measures to stop the spread of COVID-19, such as stay-at-home orders and business closures, together with severe disruptions in overall economic activity brought about a short but deep economic recession. The Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Department of Commerce estimates that real gross domestic product in the United States decreased at an annual rate of 19.2% from the fourth quarter of 2019 through the second quarter of 2020.2In this issue of AJPH, Brenner (p. 1950) investigates excess deaths associated with unemployment and bankruptcies during the COVID-19 recession. The sharp economic downturn experienced by the United States last year is likely to lead to higher mortality over the next five to 10 years.3 The key question Brenner answers is whether higher unemployment and business closures due to the pandemic have a more immediate, same-year effect on excess deaths.
ISSN:0090-0036
1541-0048
DOI:10.2105/AJPH.2021.306507