Improved ENSO forecasting using Bayesian updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME)

This study assesses the forecast skill of eight North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME) models in predicting Niño3/3.4 indices and improves their skill using Bayesian updating (BU). The forecast skill that is obtained using the ensemble mean of NMME (NMME-EM) shows strong dependence on lead (init...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wei Zhang, Gabriele Villarini, Louise Slater, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Allen Bradley
Format: Default Article
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Atmospheric sciences not elsewhere classified
Oceanography not elsewhere classified
Other earth sciences not elsewhere classified
untagged
Earth Sciences not elsewhere classified
Oceanography
Atmospheric Sciences
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/25955
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https://hdl.handle.net/2134/25955

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